Piper Jaffray sees Long Term Growth for Cannabis Industry

Cannabis stocks rose on Wednesday after another Wall Street firm joined the short list of brokers watching the industry, according to CNBC.

Piper Jaffray analysts covered major cannabis producers Tilray (NASDAQ: TLRY) and Canopy Growth (NYSE: CGC). Analyst Michael Lavery said there is still much to learn about the cannabis sector, but he set overweight ratings for the two stocks and told clients to expect attractive growth ahead.

“We do believe the long-term growth opportunities are significant — both from transitioning illicit trade to legal sales, medical sales, and from transitioning sales in health & wellness categories to CBD-infused products,” Lavery wrote. “While timing of further changes is difficult to predict, the pace of further legalization appears to be accelerating.”

Canopy Growth shares gained 7.2% towards late morning, while Tilray shares were trading 2.59% lower.

Lavery gave Tilray an overweight rating with a price target of USD 90.00 due to its existing relationship with Novartis (NYSE: NVS) and other partnerships. Lavery also gave Canopy Growth an overweight rating with a price target of USD 40.00. He highlighted Constellation Brands’ (NYSE: STZ) investment into Canopy Growth to further accelerate cannabis-infused beverages.

Lavery believes there is a USD 15 Billion to USD 50 Billion total addressable market between Canada’s medical and recreational market, medical usage in Europe and CBD-infused products in the U.S.

Lavery continues to say that the long-term global cannabis market can be likely worth between USD 250 Billion and USD 500 Billion, with over 25 countries already allowing cannabis use in some form.

“We expect legal recreational marijuana to source from illicit trade and could attract new users to the category, while THC-infused drinks could source share from alcoholic beverages,” Lavery continued. “Medical cannabis can replace a variety of products (e.g. pain relief, sleep aid, opioid replacement). CBD-infused products (with non-psychoactive properties) could gain share from food, beverage, and personal care categories.”

Lavery speculates that the U.S. could legalize cannabis on a federal level within the next two to five years considering there are already 33 states that have legalized it on some level.

“If no federal action happens by 2020, federal legalization could likely be a topic of the upcoming presidential election” Lavery wrote. “Given the apparent popularity with voters, both parties could conceivably co-opt the issue. Once marijuana is federally legal in the US, we expect additional inflows of capital, potentially for acquisitions of existing players.”

5 Comments
  1. Paul Monica 6 months ago
    Reply

    this is obvious, glad analysts are finally catching up with the hype

    • Melvin R. 6 months ago
      Reply

      joining a short — but growing — list of Wall Street analysts that are pro cannabis industry

    • Ron Glick 6 months ago
      Reply

      Mary Jane stocks heating up again. yesteday $TLRY unusual options, today $CGC moving on the upgrade, good chances $NBEV and their “spiked water” is next. FEB15th $6s or $7s would be the call

    • Das Kumel 6 months ago
      Reply

      #Cramer pumping this shitty pot stock.. $CGC, as if it is any different than the others.. it’s not. Mirrors $ACB, just later to the party. Don’t get caught in hype. These will all be Beer & Bread companies

  2. Kerry Hughes 6 months ago
    Reply

    $CGC needs to gap in order to get past 34 otherwise I think this run fails. In from 32.9 but wanting to hold for possible run

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